Stanley Cup 2015

 

Analysis of the quality of hockey in the NHL Stanley Cup 2015

 

Victor Gorsky

professor

25.06.2015.

 

I offer for your attention the material to analyze the quality of hockey in the games of the Stanley Cup-2015.

Averaged indicators quality of hockey in the 2014 and 2015 Stanley Cup season as well as the assessment in comparison with the international level (Model of the winner Olympic Games 2018) are shown in Table 1.

 

Table 1. Indicators of quality hockey of Stanley Cup compared to the international level

 

On indicators of scoring efficiency of the NHL playoffs inferior international level requirements (IL): except for Total shots, Shots on goal and Missing shots, on all other indicators (Goals, Effectiveness of total shots and Effectiveness of using goal chances) evaluations below 4 points.

Very good results are shown by Intensity of a game, Activity of a game and Total TTA - they are close or above requirements IL.

The values of the indicators show a high operational readiness of athletes, using the latest achievements in the NHL for the development and maintenance of athletic performance for a long season.

Number and Intensity of destructive TTA above of requirements IL.

On such important indicators as the Balance of attack and defense (indicator Gorsky) NHL teams exceed the requirements of the IL. This suggests that the major NHL teams are well balanced in terms of destruction and creation.

In recent seasons, the owners of the Stanley Cup became the teams that were balanced, but it's not the teams that attacked brilliantly, but sometimes forget about the defense, but this teams who are equally at a high level are able to attack and defend. These teams are not only varied tactics and technical solutions from game to game, but also able to within one game several times to change the tactical options and technologies, control the pace and rhythm of the game and impose his game opponent.

 

An important feature of the last NHL season, and one of the trends of development of the modern hockey - is the total and active hockey, high density confrontations, power and technical pressure, when on the entire length and width of the ice are no free zones, time and space for the adoption and execution of decisions without interference of opponents. It does not matter where the player with the puck: in the attacking zone, the neutral zone or in a zone defense - the opponent attacks him immediately. In this process, there is no failures, even when you change players during the game, despite the fact that all teams play with shorter shifts: a maximum of 30-40 seconds.

This is confirmed by the values of the indicators: Forechecking, Total amount of battle, Strong contact (hits), Steal empty packs and Steals of puck - all the above requirements of the IL

Number of Passes, also the above requirements of the IL. Is that once again confirms, what the serious attention given to collective actions as part of the tactical groups of players (3-4 players) and as part of the all 6 players.

Blocked Shots and Screening (traffic), also the above requirements of the IL. It is traditional for the North American style of hockey.

Good values achieved by such integrated indicator as the How many tactical and skilled moves go into one attack, forechecking (cost per unit active action (attack, forcheking), expressed as a number of TTA).

Teams tend to efficiently allocate their resources, try not to take action is not aimed directly at the achievement of results in the game, such as: standing behind the net, passes (longitudinal and back) in the zone of defense and the neutral zone.

Decreased compared to the previous season, the indicator value Dumps in and icings. But it is possible to estimate and as a positive thing: the team tend to combinational inputs into the attacking zone, keep (control) the puck. This is a continuation of the trend of world hockey, manifested in the Olympics in 2014, when there were dominance combinational inputs into the attacking zone over Dumps in. In addition, in the NHL almost every Dumps in is accompanied by an active struggle for the puck, which often wins the attacking team.

 

NHL became closer to the requirements of the IL in indicators of Errors in TTA - scores above 4 points. However, NHL has a serious backlog from IL in indicators of blunders: all indicators are evaluating less than 2 points. The values of the indicators have deteriorated compared to the previous season. Can define two main reasons: the increased density, the intensity of the confrontations, the shortage of space-time to make the decisions, and the lack of a large number of great players who can maintain the high quality of the TTA under intensive opposition.

 

Final evaluation of the quality of the game NHL teams in the Stanley Cup 2015 is quite high: 4.608.

In general, it is higher than last season (4.473).

 

A more detailed look at the Stanley Cup final series between TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING - CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS.

Analysis of a large number of games (over 1000) at various levels (OG, World Championship, NHL, KHL, Elitserien, SM-League) helped create a system of indicators of quality games of teams that have the greatest impact on the outcome of games.

 

These indicators, their values and decision criteria for the series TBL - CHI presented in Table 2.

 

In Table green highlighted indicators whose values indicate the winning team in the game, the red - indicators pointing to the defeat of the team in the game, and white - the indicators with equal importance for both teams.

In the line «Ratio of Indicators» "+" represents the number of indicators pointing to the winning team in the game, and the sign "-" - the number of indicators pointing to the defeat of the team in the game.

It can be seen that the Ratio of indicators correctly reflect the outcome of all games. This confirms the high reliability of the analysis method used.

 

Ratio of indicators reflects a very stubborn opposition and almost equal strength teams.

On the basis of the analysis are the following:

1. The intensity of the games was very high: Total TTA not less than 1450, also had high Intensity games - an average of 223.7, and Forechecking - an average of 35.6.

2. Balance of creation-destruction of the team (Gorsky) is very high: on average - 47.5%, while the winners of games 3.

3. In 4-match winner did more Blocked Shots than your opponent.

4. Both teams made a lot of mistakes in the games: Errors in ТТА and Сritical error in ТТА.

Analysis of the structure of errors shows that both opponents have made many errors in indicators: Pass completed, Steal empty packs, Takeaway, Errors on Slots game, Tactical and position mistakes, Goalkeeper mistakes.

 

In general, the results of the analysis of games of the Stanley Cup 2015 we can say that the NHL continues to be the leading global Hockey League in quality of hockey.

It NHL largely determines the state of modern hockey and trends in its development, including at the level of national teams, as evidenced by the results of Olympics-14 and World Championship-15.

 

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